Question 1

What is Trueindex?

Accepted Answer

Trueindex is a prediction market covering Greater China exclusively. Participants trade contracts on whether specific future events will happen, and the resulting price is a live probability estimate for that event.

Question 2

What topics does Trueindex cover?

Accepted Answer

Six categories: Chinese politics, technology, the economy, cross-strait relations, Hong Kong and Macau, and overseas Chinese communities. Unlike general prediction markets, Trueindex does not list sports or entertainment markets.

Question 3

How do I read a prediction market price?

Accepted Answer

A price between 0 and 1 is the market's probability for that outcome. A contract trading at 0.63 means participants collectively price the event at about a 63 percent chance. Prices move continuously as new information arrives.

Question 4

Why use a prediction market instead of an opinion poll?

Accepted Answer

A poll records what people say; a market records what they will risk money to back. That gap matters most in Greater China, where answering a survey honestly can carry a personal cost, so stated opinion and real belief diverge.

Question 5

Do I need an account to view markets?

Accepted Answer

No. Every market, price and price history is readable without signing in or connecting a wallet. An account is required only to take a position.

Question 6

Which currencies and blockchain does Trueindex use?

Accepted Answer

Markets are denominated and settled in USDC or USDT on the Polygon network. Both stablecoins are supported because access to each differs considerably between Asian markets.

Question 7

How are markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Every market publishes its resolution criteria and the public sources that will decide it before trading opens. Settlement follows those stated sources, so the outcome is checkable by anyone rather than decided at the platform's discretion.

Question 8

What languages is Trueindex available in?

Accepted Answer

English, Traditional Chinese and Simplified Chinese. Every market title, resolution rule and page has its own URL in each language, rather than being machine-translated at read time.

Trade the future of Greater China.

By category

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Trade the future of Greater China.

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Will NYC Chinatown population grow year-over-year in 2026?

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By category

Newly listed

Will Xi Mingze succeed Xi Jinping as China's top leader by end of 2028?

Will Xi Jinping step down from all leadership posts by end of 2028?

Will the KMT win Taiwan's 2028 presidential election?

Will TSMC's Arizona 2nm fab hit volume production by end of 2027?